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Law, Statistics, and the Reference Class Problem

dc.contributor.authorCheng, Edward K.
dc.identifier.citation109 Columbia Law Review Sidebar 92 (2009)en_US
dc.descriptionarticle published in law reviewen_US
dc.description.abstractStatistical data are powerful, if not crucial, pieces of evidence in the courtroom. Whether one is trying to demonstrate the rarity of a DNA profile, estimate the value of damaged property, or determine the likelihood that a criminal defendant will recidivate, statistics often have an important role to play. Statistics, however, raise a number of serious challenges for the legal system, including concerns that they are difficult to understand, are given too much deference from juries, or are easily manipulated by the parties' experts. In this preview piece, I address one of these challenges, known as the "reference class problem," and sketch a solution that I develop at greater length in my forthcoming Essay.en_US
dc.format.extent1 PDF (7 pages)en_US
dc.publisherColumbia Law Reviewen_US
dc.subjectStatistical evidenceen_US
dc.subjectReference class problemen_US
dc.subjectModel selectionen_US
dc.subject.lcshEvidence (Law) -- Statistical methodsen_US
dc.subject.lcshEvidence, Experten_US
dc.subject.lcshForensic statisticsen_US
dc.titleLaw, Statistics, and the Reference Class Problemen_US

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